The Quad, NUI GalwayIrish Statistical Association

Programme

Wednesday 12th May

11.00

Registration Opens

12.30

Lunch

Session 1

Chair: John Hinde

14.00

Welcome to CASI 2004
Professor Iognáid Ó Muircheartaigh (President, NUI, Galway)

14.05

Keynote: Flexible modeling of the error and/or random effect structure in linear mixed models and survival models with medical applications
Emmanuel Lesaffre (K.U.Leuven, Belgium)

15.05

A Development of the Cox Proportional Hazards Model with Time Dependent Covariates for the Analysis of Factors Associated with Tooth Re-treatment in a DTSS Cohort
Michael Cronin, Finbarr O’Sullivan, Helton Whelton (University College Cork and University Dental School and Hospital, Cork)

15.30

PH and Non-PH Frailty Models for Multivariate Survival Data
M. Blagojevic, Gilbert MacKenzie (Keele University)

15.55

Tea/Coffee

Session 2

Chair: John Newell

16.20

Mixed Models in Survival Analysis
Goeran Kauermann (University Bielefeld)

16.45

Bayesian Nonparametric Modelling of Frailty Effects in Multivariate Survival Data
Samuel OM Manda (University of Leeds)

17.10

Recent Developments in Modelling Covariance
Gilbert MacKenzie (Keele University)

17.35

Ordering Information in Graphical Displays
Catherine Hurley (National University of Ireland, Maynooth)

18.30 Poster Session and Drinks Reception

1. Importance Resampling MCMC: A Methodology for Cross Validation in Inverse Problems
Sourabh Bhattacharya, John Haslett (Trinity College Dublin)

2. Application of Penalized Likelihood to Estimation of Kinetic Model Parameters from PET
M. Byrtek, F. O'Sullivan (University College Cork)

3. An Adaptive Template Technique for the Assessment of Consistency Within and Between Rowers
M. Clifford, R. Wall, S. Kingston, N O’Connell, J. O’Sullivan, F. O’Sullivan, A.M.J. Bull, A.H. McGregor (University College Cork and University College, London, UK)

4. Estimation of Infection Prevalence of Salmonella in the Irish Pig Herd from Correlated Binomial Samples
J. Condon, G. Kelly, B. Bradshaw, N. Leonard (The Queen’s University of Belfast, University College Dublin and Dept of Agriculture and Food)

5. Which exercise protocol? Do we need to include random effects?
Nicola Crichton (London South Bank University, UK)

6. Cointegration and the Balance of Payments
Erika Daly, Patrick Murphy (University College Dublin)

7. Performing Horvitz-Thompson estimation in complex designs: a computer-intensive perspective
Lorenzo Fattorini, Caterina Pisani (Università di Siena, Italy)

8. Technical Trading Rules in the Foreign Exchange Market –Testing Out of Sample
Niall Fitzgerald, Shane Whelan (University College Dublin)

9. A Cointegration Analysis between Irish and English Wages and Inflation Rates
Patricia Forde, Shane Whelan (University College Dublin)

10. Cluster Analysis and Mixture Models for Ranking Data
Claire Gormley (Trinity College Dublin)

11. An Algorithm for Obtaining Strata with Equal Coefficients of Variation
P. Gunning, J.M. Horgan, G. Keogh (Dublin City University)

12. Better Averaging of Region of Interest Data in Dynamic Imaging Studies: A Statistical Adjustment for Local Time Delays Associated with Transport
Jian Huang, Finbarr O’Sullivan (University College Cork)

13. Multigraph Representation of Hierarchical Loglinear Models
Harry Khamis (Wright State University, USA)

14. The False Inlier, The False Outlier and the Fixed Boundary Value Outlier Test
A. Kinsella, K. Hayes (Dublin Institute of Technology and University of Limerick)

15. Quantitation of PET Studies with Limited Blood Sampling
J. Kirrane, F.O’Sullivan, M.Byrtek, Mark Muzi and Alexander Spence (University College Cork, Ireland and University of Washington, USA)

16. Sampling on Successive Occasions - Estimation of a Population Ratio
Barbara Kowalczyk (Warsaw School of Economics, Poland)

17.  Linear Modelling of Non-Gaussian Time Series through transform to Gaussian
D. Kugiumtzis, E. Bora-Senta (Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, Greece)

18.  C-Ph|2: Conditional Phase-Type Distributions for Modelling the Duration of Stay of Patients in Hospital and Community
Adele Marshall (Queen’s University Belfast)

19. Dynamic Bayesian Networks for Modelling Patient Length of Stay in Hospital
Adele Marshall, Ronan Donaghy (Queen’s University Belfast)

20. Using Text Mining to Cluster Genes and Diseases
Sally McClean, Bryan Scotney, Claire Watson (University of Ulster)

21. Time to Qualification for Actuarial Students in Ireland and the United Kingdom 1990-2003
Dónal McMahon, Philip J. Boland (University College Dublin, Ireland)

22. Fixed Effects versus Random Effects Modelling of Binary Repeated Measures Data
Valda Murphy, Adrian Dunne (Department of Statistics, University College Dublin)

23. Alcohol Intake: An Example Of How To Handle Missing Dietary Questionnaire Information
U.A.Nur, D.C.Greenwood and N.T. Longford, (Imperial College London, University of Leeds, and De Montfort University, UK).

24. A Statistical Analysis of Lactation Curve Models
N. Quinn , L. Killen and F. Buckley ( Dublin City University, and Teagasc)

25. Reconstruction of Wave Height Fields from Light Transmission Data
M. Samanta, K. Roychoudhury, and F. O’Sullivan (National University of Ireland, Cork)

26. A two-stage adaptive cluster sampling with imperfect detectability
T. Sclocco, T. Di Battista, S.A. Gattone (Università “G. D’Annunzio” Chieti Viale Pindaro, Italy)

27. Relative Index of Inequality: Definition, Estimation and Inference
Jamie Sergeant (Nuffield College, England)

28. Estimating The Costs For A Cohort Of Geriatric Patients Using The Coxian Phase-Type Distribution
Barry Shaw, Adele Marshall (Queen’s University Belfast)

29. Curtailing Cancer Clusters
Paul Silcocks (University of Nottingham, UK)

30. Statistical Power And Sample Size Calculations For Bioequivalence Studies Using Two-Period Crossover Designs
Arminda Lucia Siqueira, John Whitehead, Anne Whitehead, Susan Todd, María M. Lucini (Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais, Brasil and The University of Reading, UK)

31. Some Models for Data With Extra Zeros
Paul Wilson, (National University of Ireland, Galway)

32. A Study on the Effect of CO2 Enrichment on Genotypes within Plant Species
Elaine Wright, John Connolly, Andreas Luescher (University College Dublin, and FAL Reckenholzstrasse , Zurich)

20.00 Dinner

Thursday 13th May

Session 1

Chair: Gabrielle Kelly

9.00

An Alternative PM Fine Standard, Based Upon the Daily Max Hour PM fine Value
William F. Hunt Jr., Dr. Kimberly Weems, Benjamin Ogorek (North Carolina State University)

9.25

Palaeo-Climate Reconstruction at Glendalough – Climate Smoothness
John Haslett (Trinity College, Dublin)

9.50

Applying Generalized Linear Models to the Analysis of Deep-Sea Samples:Modelling the Distribution of Sea Anemone Species on the Continental Slope.
Margaret F.J. Wilson, David A.L. Wilson (National University of Ireland, Galway)

10.15

Bayesian Estimation of Hidden Markov Random Fields
Nial Friel (University of Glasgow)

10.40

Tea/Coffee

Session 2

Chair: Alan Agresti

11.00

Keynote: Official statistics - Procedures and Principles
Nick Longford (SNTL, Leicester)

12.05

The Reading Literacy Skills of Irish 15-Year Olds in the OECD Programme for International Assessment (PISA 2000)
Nick Sofroniou (Educational Research Centre, Dublin)

12.30

Sparse Data and New Retrospective Estimates of The Prevalence of Opiate Use in Ireland
C.M. Comiskey (National University of Ireland, Maynooth)

13.00

Lunch

Session 3

Chair: Emmanuel Lesaffre

14.00

Keynote: Modelling Drug Dissolution in the Laboratory and in Humans plus Trí Ghalar gan Náire
Adrian Dunne (University College Dublin)

15.00

Analysis of Gene Expression Profiles from Microarray Experiments
Emma Holian (National University of Ireland, Galway)

15.25

Is Simple Statistics Really Simple?
Eamonn Mullins (Trinity College, Dublin)

15.50

Tea/Coffee

Session 4

Chair: Gilbert Mackenzie

16.10

Keynote: Statistical Modelling and Experimental Design Strategies for Detecting Drug and Similar Compound Synergy
Timothy E. O’Brien (Loyola University, Chicago)

17.10

Bivariate Longitudinal Model for Detecting Prescribing Change in Two Drugs Simultaneously with Correlated Errors
Jabu S. Sithole, Peter W. Jones (Queen’s Medical Centre, Nottingham and Keele University, UK)

17.35

ICH E9 Guideline “Statistical Principles for Clinical Trials”: A Case Study
Alan Phillips (ICON Clinical Research)

18.00

Forest Walk, Golf or visit to Leisure Centre

20.15

Conference Dinner

Friday 14th May

Session 1

Chair: John Haslett

9.00

Keynote: A Twentieth Century Tour of Categorical Data Analysis
Alan Agresti (University of Florida)

10.00

Bayesian Analysis of 2x2 Contingency Tables from Comparative Trials
Murray Aitkin, Tom Chadwick (University of Newcastle)

10.25

The use of Latent Class Analysis in the Identification of Syndromes in Mild Alzheimer’s Disease
Cathal Walsh (Trinity College, Dublin)

10.50

Tea/Coffee (Hotel Check Out)

Session 2

Chair: Adele Marshall

11.20

The Analysis of s
Michael Stuart (Trinity College Dublin)

11.45

Sparse Binary Data with a Binary Response: A New Method of Analysis
Jim Stack, Frank Leonard (Waterford Institute of Technology)

12.10

Classification With Constraints: Who Wrote Each Chapter In Finbar’s Hotel?
Thomas Brendan Murphy (Trinity College, Dublin)

12.35

ISA Annual General Meeting

13.00

Lunch